Videos / Podcasts

Aquatic deoxygenation as a planetary boundary and key regulator of Earth system stability Rose et al. 2024

From grey to green? Tipping a coal region incrementally. Mey et al. 2024

The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene Rockström et al. 2024

Global Tipping Point Report. Lenton et al. (Eds.) 2023

Global warming overshoots encrease risk of climate tipping cascades in a network model. Wunderlich et al. 2023

Mixotrophic microbes create carbon tipping points under
warming   Wieczynski, Moeller & Gilbert 2023

Many risky feedback loops amplify the need for climate change Ripple et al. 2023

Earlier collapse of Anthropocene ecosystems driven by multiple faster and noisier drivers Willcock et al. 2022

To tip or not to tip: The Window of Tipping Point Analysis for Social-Ecological Systems. Natural Resources Modelling. Riekhof et al. 2022

Global warming overshoots increase risk of climate tipping cascades in a network model. Wunderling et al. 2022 

Prevalence and drivers of abrupt vegetation shifts in global drylands. Berdugo et al. 2022

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. McKay et al. 2022

Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system Brovkin et al. 2021

ESD – Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming ( Wunderling et al. 2021

Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate. Klose et al. 2020

Exploring non-linear transition pathways in social-ecological systems.  Mathias et al. 2020

Regime shifts occur disproportionately faster in larger ecosystems | Nature Communications Cooper et. al 2020

Global Ecosystem thresholds driven by aridity Berdugo et al. 2020

Exploring non-linear transition pathways in social-ecological systems Mathias et al. 2020

Regime shifts occur disproportionatety faster in larger ecosystems Cooper et al. 2020

Early Warning from Space for a Few Key Tipping Points in Physical Biological, and Socio-Ecological Systems Swingedouw et al. 2020

Social tipping dnamics for stabilizing Earth’s Climate by 2050 Otto et al. 2020

Climate tipping points – too risky to bet against Lenton et al. 2019

New study explores ecosystem stability  Roopnarine 2018

Biodiversity increases and decreases ecosystems   Pennekamp et al. 2018

Trajectories of the Erath System in the Anthropocene Steffen et al. 2018

Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction  Jiang et al. 2018

Environmental Tipping Points  Lenton, 2013

Does the terrestrial biosphere have planetary tipping points? Brook et al. 2013

Social-ecological systems as complex adaptive systems: modeling and policy implicaitons Levin et al. 2012

Approaching a stat shift in Earth’s biosphere  Barnosky et al. 2012

A safe operating space for humanity Rockström et al. 2009

Tipping elements in the Earth’s climate  Lenton et al. 2008

Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems Scheffer et al. 2001

03.04.2024 D2030 Futures Lounge Kipp-Punkte in Klima und Gesellschaft: Eine drängende Herausforderung für kollektives Handeln #D2030 #FutureLounge –
Key Note Timothy M. Lenton 14/05/2019 Bifurcation, Hysteresis, Tipping Points (02/04/2019, Theodore P. Pavlic, Arizona State University)
(Tim Lenton, Exeter University, 18/02/2019 on Global Systems Institute) Identifying Tipping Points (Tim Lenton, Exeter University, 15/04/2018)  
(Steve Carpenter, U Wisconsin-Madison) 23/05/2016) Social-Ecological Systems Ecosystem Regime Shifts (15/02/2016 by Systems Innovation)
(Jeff Gore, MIT, 28/07/2015) Ecosystem stability, critical transitions, and biodiversity Foreseeing critical transitions (Marten Scheffer, U Wageningen, 11/11/2015)
(Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs on Regime Shifts) 15/02/2011 Resilience (Brian Walker, Stockholm Resilience Centre TV) (03/04/2009)
Elinor Ostrom on socio-ecological resilience (May 2007, published 25.01.2013)

Transitions and Bifurcations